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Predictive Modeling for Water Mains

Identify and manage water mains at risk of failure using locally tailored, AI-driven predictive modeling.

Key Features

Stay ahead of water main leaks and failures

BlueConduit’s Water Main Predictions identifies high-risk water mains using advanced modeling, enriched data, and expert insights. Delivered through the BlueConduit Platform in Esri, it offers dynamic tools, continuous updates, and actionable insights to empower proactive decision-making.

Data dashboard

View and dynamically interact with your up-to-date water mains dataset:

  • Interactive map view & tools
  • Interactive table view & tools
  • System health indicators
  • Break history metrics
  • Interactive charts
  • Data layers include, but are not limited to:
    • Water main data
    • Break history
    • Criticality
  • Filter and sort by multiple factors including, but not limited to:
    • Diameter
    • Material
    • Install date
    • Criticality

Predictive modeling

Enhance your understanding of water main risk with high accuracy likelihood of failure predictions:

  • Likelihood of failure (LoF) predictions for every water main for multiple timeframes using BlueConduit’s state-of-the-art machine learning models
  • Ongoing, dynamic prediction updates
  • Prediction explainability, systemwide
  • Prediction explainability, by water main

Predictions dashboard

View and interact with your dynamically up-to-date water mains likelihood of failure predictions

  • Predictions with explainability, bucketed by LoF percentile (Top 1%, 5%, etc)
  • Prediction change-over-time assessment and explainability
  • Break history metrics (interact, filter, sort)
  • Map view (interact, filter, sort)
  • Table view (interact, filter, sort, export)
  • Filter by multiple factors including, but not limited to:
    • Diameter
    • Material
    • Install date
    • Criticality
  • Compare predictions to multiple baseline models including:
    • Historical breaks only
    • Water main age only
    • M-77 LoF weighted model, with weighted assigned via machine learning models

Assessment manager [coming 2025]

Quickly and easily transition from analysis to action

Reports

Simple reports to help you understand your data and BlueConduit’s data science results:

  • Data Analysis Report
  • Time Shift Study
  • Methodology & Results Report, annual

DS human-in-the-loop

Lean on BlueConduit’s expert Data Scientists to ensure high quality, accurate, and localized predictions and data analysis:

  • Data cleaning & standardization
  • Model performance analysis
  • Prediction accuracy and alignment with priorities
  • Report creation

Customer success

BlueConduit’s team is committed to your success and highly engaged as you use our tools:

  • Implementation support
  • Ongoing support conversations

Seamless Integration: Water Main Predictions with Esri GIS

Easily visualize water main predictions within Esri’s intuitive mapping interface, gaining a spatial understanding of areas at risk.

Testimonials

"We built BlueConduit to support the modernization of water systems around the country. It is really hitting home this week: A 140 year old water main in my neighborhood broke last week, and I haven't been able to drink the municipal water in more than 5 days. This reinforces the need for BlueConduit's new Water Main Predictions solution, which improves a water system's understanding of their drinking water network using predictive modeling and machine learning. It is designed to help water systems make assessment and maintenance decisions that can prevent catastrophic failures."

Jake Abernethy

BlueConduit co-founder

Testimonials

“We’re entirely ratepayer driven, so we’re working with a fixed budget. We needed a tool that lets us continually monitor the system and gives us a better way of assessing and planning to address risk. We’re excited to partner with BlueConduit on this critical work.”

Russell Lomax

MAWSS Water & Sewer Operations Manager

Frequently Asked Questions

We consider multiple measures of model performance and accuracy. Learn more about how BlueConduit thinks about accuracy.

Yes, with AI defined as using a computer to do things that a human brain can also do. Specifically, our Data Science team builds machine learning models. We do not currently use artificial neural networks or generative models, such as ChatGPT, for our data science work. Learn more about how we think about and use AI, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling.

This product provides dynamic leak and failure likelihood predictions for every water main on multiple time horizons. This data drives Condition Assessment decisions including physical assessment, maintenance, and replacement.

Ready to revolutionize your water main management?

Partner with BlueConduit to optimize your infrastructure management strategies, minimize service disruptions, and ensure the reliability of your water main networks.